Here is an outstanding visual
presentation. Updated by IHME on Monday, March
30, 2020:
Click on the United States of America in the green section to view separate states.
On Meet the Press yesterday, Dr. Debra Birx suggested using this IHME resource for “accurate and scientifically-sound metrics.” This is a good website for people who like to get into the weeds. ME. As an academic, researcher, and aging expert, of course, I went to that site immediately.
As a word of caution, these projections are not based on testing and recovered patients, but based on CV-19 DEATHS. The deaths numbers are more verifiable than “cases,” as testing has fallen behind and many communities are lacking tests. Please factor that in when reviewing these stats.
Also note that the “Resources needed for COVID patients on peak date” are for the peak resource use date… April 15. That does not include what we need NOW as we approach the peak date or AFTER the peak date.
On the right, note the “Resources” bed shortages, ICU bed shortages, and invasive ventilators needed. As a reminder, that is the peak date of April 15. “The projections assume the continuation of strong social distancing measures and other protective measures.” The projection does NOT factor in the people frolicking on the beaches or crowding together to view the cherry blossoms or hospital ships.
This is also interesting:
“This page was most recently updated at 6 a.m. Pacific, March 30, 2020. To view the changes to the model, please visit http://www.healthdata.org/covid
“IHME’s COVID-19
projections were developed in response to requests from the University of
Washington School of Medicine and other US hospital systems and state
governments working to determine when COVID-19 would overwhelm their ability to
care for patients.”
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